Kerala to Witness Major UDF Comeback While Left Citadels Are Set to Crumble, Predicts Survey Report

The latest survey indicates a wind of regime change blowing through Kerala. According to the latest pre-poll survey report released by Poll Tracker, one of the country’s leading agencies, the UDF is likely to come to power by winning 76–85 seats. The LDF is projected to sit in the Opposition with 55–60 seats, while the BJP-led NDA is predicted to secure 1–3 seats.

Projected Vote Share

UDF: 42.8% – 44.2%

The latest survey indicates a wind of regime change blowing through Kerala. According to the latest pre-poll survey report released by Poll Tracker, one of the country’s leading agencies, the UDF is likely to come to power by winning 76–85 seats. The LDF is projected to sit in the Opposition with 55–60 seats, while the BJP-led NDA is predicted to secure 1–3 seats.

Projected Vote Share

UDF: 42.8% – 44.2%

LDF: 37.5% – 39.5%

NDA: 13.5% – 14.8%

Key Findings of the Survey

Anti-Incumbency Sentiment: The survey reveals a strong anti-incumbency wave against the LDF Government, which has been in power for the last ten years. The natural public desire for change following consecutive terms is likely to be reflected in the voting.

Consolidation of Minority Votes: Campaigns toward an “understanding” between the BJP and CPM may lead to a consolidation of minority votes in favor of the UDF. This factor could prove decisive in approximately 50 constituencies.

Key Election Issues: Poll Tracker identifies the Sabarimala issue, deficiencies in the healthcare sector, and the corruption allegations that came up in recent times as the key factors shaping voters’ decisions.

The report assesses that a pro-UDF wave transcending caste, religion, and community lines is evident in Kerala. This projected increase in vote share is expected to translate into a significant shift in the final seat tally in favour of the UDF.

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